Serie B Round 16

Ternana Calcio vs Catania analysis

Ternana Calcio Catania
66 ELO 76
-6.2% Tilt -13.4%
543º General ELO ranking 1719º
36º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
25.4%
Ternana Calcio
27.2%
Draw
47.4%
Catania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.4%
Win probability
Catania
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ternana Calcio
-7%
+17%
Catania

ELO progression

Ternana Calcio
Catania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2014
PRG
Perugia
2 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
58%
25%
17%
65 70 5 0
16 Nov. 2014
TER
Ternana Calcio
0 - 0
Spezia
SPE
36%
29%
35%
65 72 7 0
10 Nov. 2014
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
62%
23%
15%
64 71 7 +1
04 Nov. 2014
ACD
Virtus Entella
2 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
40%
29%
32%
65 61 4 -1
01 Nov. 2014
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
48%
26%
26%
65 64 1 0

Matches

Catania
Catania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2014
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
Latina
LAT
70%
20%
11%
76 66 10 0
16 Nov. 2014
TRA
Trapani
2 - 2
Catania
CAT
32%
28%
40%
76 68 8 0
08 Nov. 2014
CAT
Catania
2 - 1
Varese
VAR
63%
21%
16%
76 68 8 0
01 Nov. 2014
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Catania
CAT
33%
28%
39%
76 69 7 0
28 Oct. 2014
CAT
Catania
5 - 1
Virtus Entella
ACD
73%
18%
9%
76 61 15 0