Ternana Calcio vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PES
1 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
CRO
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
TER
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
MOD
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACD
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIV
4 - 2
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
FRO
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |