Ter Leede vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
15º
7º
28
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 62 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 55 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 45 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
43% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ter Leede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
TER
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TER
2 - 5
PUR
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HUI
2 - 1
TER
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DOV
0 - 2
TER
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
BAR
15%
20%
66%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 4
PUR
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 1
ARC
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 2
LIS
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
ARC
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |