Ter Leede vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ter Leede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DOV
3 - 1
TER
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 0
TER
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TER
3 - 0
HUI
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
TER
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
VVA
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 1
SPO
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HUI
8 - 0
ARC
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 4
VOL
46%
22%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VVA
3 - 2
ARC
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 0
MON
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |