Tepatitlán FC vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 0
TEM
21%
27%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
TEM
2 - 0
MER
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 3
TEM
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
TEM
3 - 2
ZAC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
UAT
2 - 1
TEM
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
SPT
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
RYD
1 - 0
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
TIA
62%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
TAM
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |