Tefana vs Arue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
95.7%
Win probability
4.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.9%
+10
0.9%
9-0
1.8%
10-1
0.4%
+9
2.2%
8-0
3.5%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
4.4%
7-0
5.9%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
7.7%
6-0
8.7%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
11.8%
5-0
11.1%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15.7%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
2.6%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
2.6%
0.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
TEF
2 - 0
MAN
59%
18%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
0 - 5
PIR
52%
18%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
2 - 0
ASJ
93%
5%
2%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TEF
5 - 0
ASE
84%
10%
7%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 1
TEF
45%
20%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PUE
6 - 1
ASA
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AST
3 - 1
ASA
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
DRA
5 - 1
ASA
96%
3%
1%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
2 - 0
ASA
98%
2%
0%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ASA
1 - 3
MAT
7%
13%
81%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |