Technico vs BDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Technico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 1
EST
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 2
SSA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 1
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 1
TEC
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
YOU
2 - 2
TEC
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BDF
8 - 0
MAX
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
BDF
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BDF
1 - 0
YOU
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BDF
1 - 2
BRI
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
PRI
1 - 1
BDF
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |