Team Ticino U21 vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.4%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
92.7%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.9%
0-4
12.5%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
17.1%
0-5
9.2%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
12%
0-6
5.7%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
7.1%
0-7
3%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.6%
0-8
1.4%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.6%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.7%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Ticino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 2
VAL
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BUL
7 - 2
TEA
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 3
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TPA
3 - 1
TEA
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
TEA
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
54%
21%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SCF
2 - 2
FCL
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
STG
3 - 0
FCL
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NAT
1 - 4
FCL
4%
11%
85%
|
81 | 36 | 45 | 0 |