Tajikistan vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
0 - 1
TJK
6%
11%
83%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TJK
1 - 0
KGZ
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 1
PRK
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 0
SYR
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 0
MNG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MMR
0 - 2
JPN
10%
20%
71%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
JPN
2 - 0
PRY
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
ECU
1 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
URY
2 - 2
JPN
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |