Tavernes vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavernes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
TAV
54%
25%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TAV
2 - 0
CAN
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ONT
0 - 1
TAV
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TAV
0 - 2
CUL
35%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
REC
1 - 1
TAV
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 2
PEG
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALB
32%
26%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
PEG
55%
23%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PEG
3 - 2
ONT
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CUL
1 - 1
PEG
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |