Taverne vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HOC
2 - 1
TAV
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 1
BRU
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
TAV
46%
25%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 1
VED
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
TAV
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
58%
20%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 0
HER
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 4
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |