Taunton Town vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taunton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
TAU
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WHI
1 - 1
TAU
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TAU
3 - 3
HEN
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
TAU
54%
22%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MER
4 - 2
TAU
23%
23%
55%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
HAR
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 3
HAR
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TIV
2 - 0
HAR
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |