Paulista A3 Round 5

Taubaté vs CA Joseense analysis

Taubaté CA Joseense
50 ELO 42
-5.9% Tilt 2.1%
4767º General ELO ranking 28249º
148º Country ELO ranking 795º
ELO win probability
59%
Taubaté
22%
Draw
19%
CA Joseense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
CA Joseense
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Taubaté
CA Joseense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2013
BAR
Barretos
1 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
38%
25%
38%
50 47 3 0
02 Feb. 2013
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 2
Votuporanguense
VOT
45%
25%
30%
51 50 1 -1
30 Jan. 2013
UNI
União São João
2 - 2
Taubaté
TAU
50%
23%
27%
51 51 0 0
26 Jan. 2013
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 0
Guaçuano
GUA
45%
25%
31%
50 50 0 +1
08 Apr. 2012
TAU
Taubaté
2 - 0
Barretos
BAR
46%
25%
30%
49 49 0 +1

Matches

CA Joseense
CA Joseense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2013
SJS
CA Joseense
1 - 2
Marília
MAR
35%
24%
42%
44 49 5 0
03 Feb. 2013
FRA
Francana
0 - 0
CA Joseense
SJS
46%
25%
29%
44 44 0 0
30 Jan. 2013
AME
América SP
0 - 1
CA Joseense
SJS
67%
19%
15%
43 50 7 +1
26 Jan. 2013
SJS
CA Joseense
3 - 2
São Bento
SAO
29%
24%
48%
41 50 9 +2