Paulista A3 round 1

Taubaté vs Santacruzense analysis

Taubaté Santacruzense
52 ELO 49
-4.1% Tilt -6.9%
4358º General ELO ranking 11276º
147º Country ELO ranking 439º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Taubaté
24.6%
Draw
27.1%
Santacruzense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.1%
Win probability
Santacruzense
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
+18%
+35%
Santacruzense

ELO progression

Taubaté
Santacruzense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2013
AUD
Audax São Paulo
0 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
74%
17%
9%
50 64 14 0
07 Sep. 2013
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 2
São Caetano
SAO
21%
23%
56%
51 63 12 -1
04 Sep. 2013
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 3
São Bernardo FC
SAO
24%
26%
51%
51 63 12 0
28 Aug. 2013
JUV
CA Juventus
1 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
49%
25%
27%
51 52 1 0
25 Aug. 2013
TAU
Taubaté
3 - 0
CA Joseense
SJS
61%
22%
18%
51 43 8 0

Matches

Santacruzense
Santacruzense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2013
CAT
Catanduvense
1 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
60%
21%
18%
51 57 6 0
24 Mar. 2013
SAN
Santacruzense
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
11%
18%
71%
50 77 27 +1
21 Mar. 2013
SAN
Santacruzense
0 - 1
Rio Claro
RIO
34%
26%
40%
51 56 5 -1
17 Mar. 2013
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 1
Santacruzense
SAN
54%
23%
23%
51 55 4 0
14 Mar. 2013
SAN
Santacruzense
4 - 1
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
25%
23%
52%
49 56 7 +2