Paulista A2 1ra Fase. Jor. 5

Taubaté vs Primavera SP analysis

Taubaté Primavera SP
49 ELO 51
-10.3% Tilt -14.3%
4251º General ELO ranking 3474º
146º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Taubaté
26.9%
Draw
37.5%
Primavera SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.5%
Win probability
Primavera SP
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
-1%
+17%
Primavera SP

ELO progression

Taubaté
Primavera SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
TAU
Taubaté
2 - 1
Monte Azul
MON
43%
25%
32%
47 46 1 0
24 Jan. 2024
CAP
Capivariano
1 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
66%
19%
14%
47 55 8 0
21 Jan. 2024
POR
Portuguesa Santista
0 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
59%
23%
18%
47 55 8 0
18 Jan. 2024
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
13%
21%
66%
46 65 19 +1
11 Mar. 2023
PRI
Primavera SP
1 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
47%
26%
26%
46 50 4 0

Matches

Primavera SP
Primavera SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
RIO
Rio Claro
0 - 0
Primavera SP
PRI
38%
27%
36%
52 49 3 0
24 Jan. 2024
PRI
Primavera SP
1 - 2
São José
SAO
31%
27%
42%
53 56 3 -1
20 Jan. 2024
SAO
São Bento
3 - 0
Primavera SP
PRI
35%
27%
38%
54 50 4 -1
17 Jan. 2024
PRI
Primavera SP
2 - 0
Portuguesa Santista
POR
32%
28%
41%
53 56 3 +1
03 Sep. 2023
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 1
Primavera SP
PRI
66%
22%
12%
53 65 12 0
X