Taubaté vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VOT
1 - 0
TAU
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 3
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
XVD
4 - 1
TAU
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
TAU
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 1
ATI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
ATI
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VOT
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 3
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |