Tartu FC Santos vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu FC Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
TJK
7 - 0
TFS
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TFS
1 - 3
TIN
20%
22%
57%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TFS
2 - 2
PTJ
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
JKN
7 - 0
TFS
26%
23%
52%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TFS
1 - 2
AJA
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 4
JKN
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 3
FCA
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 0
MST
43%
21%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SIK
2 - 0
FCA
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 2
TMK
63%
17%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |