AD Taraguilla vs Athletic Nueva Jarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Taraguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JOS
1 - 4
TAR
9%
14%
78%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FED
4 - 6
TAR
7%
12%
82%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TAR
5 - 0
LBA
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 3
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TAR
6 - 1
CDR
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Nueva Jarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
OLV
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NFC
3 - 5
ATH
9%
14%
78%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ATH
5 - 1
NCH
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ATH
5 - 1
LRP
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CDU
2 - 2
ATH
10%
15%
76%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |