Tarifa UD vs Athletic Nueva Jarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarifa UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JOS
0 - 1
UDT
32%
24%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UDT
1 - 1
VIL
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UDT
0 - 2
LIN
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDJ
1 - 0
UDT
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDT
0 - 2
CDV
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Nueva Jarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
LIN
35%
23%
41%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDJ
1 - 0
ATH
26%
22%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
CDV
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
REC
0 - 2
ATH
11%
16%
72%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 0
UBR
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |