Tarbes vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ROD
2 - 0
TAR
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MON
3 - 1
TAR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 0
LEP
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 1
TAR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 0
ALB
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
PAU
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAE
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
PAU
35%
29%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |