Tarbes vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 1
TAR
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 2
CON
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 2
TAR
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIM
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
STA
0 - 0
LOR
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
PON
43%
26%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LES
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |