Tarbes vs Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 0
TAR
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
TAR
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 1
LEP
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UZE
1 - 1
TAR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 0
TAR
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GAP
0 - 1
ROD
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 1
BEZ
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
GAP
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 4
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAE
6 - 0
GAP
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |