Taranto vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 3
TAR
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 0
FON
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 2
TAR
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
SES
3 - 1
TAR
16%
24%
61%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
TAR
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SSE
0 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 2
APR
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 1
CPT
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRS
1 - 1
FRA
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |