Taranto vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
4 - 2
COS
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
TAR
1 - 0
RPO
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
TAR
2 - 0
BRI
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
TAR
3 - 2
LEC
39%
23%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAT
0 - 2
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
SIR
0 - 2
DOM
86%
9%
5%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |