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Serie D. Group H, Matchday 33

Taranto Audace Cerignola
33 ELO 29
-16% Tilt 15%
3070º General ELO ranking 3814º
98º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Taranto
28.4%
Draw
34.3%
Audace Cerignola

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
Taranto
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.3%
Win probability
Audace Cerignola
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taranto
-4%
+45%
Audace Cerignola

Points and table prediction

Taranto
Their league position
Audace Cerignola
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
10º
52
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Taranto
69
69
100%
Picerno
68
68
100%
Fidelis Andria
61
61
100%
USD Bitonto
55
55
50%
Virtus Casarano
55
55
50%
Lavello
54
54
100%
Audace Cerignola
52
52
100%
Nardò
49
49
100%
Team Altamura
47
47
100%
Molfetta Calcio
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Sorrento
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Gravina
12º
35
35
12º
33%
Città di Fasano
13º
35
35
13º
33%
Brindisi
14º
35
35
14º
33%
FC Francavilla 1931
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Aversa Normanna
16º
34
34
16º
33%
Portici
17º
34
34
17º
33%
Atletico Puteolana
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Taranto
Audace Cerignola
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Taranto
TAR
Audace Cerignola
AUD
Nardò
NAR
Lavello
LAV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taranto
Taranto
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2021
FCF
FC Francavilla 1931
0 - 0
Taranto
TAR
39%
28%
33%
447 255 -192 0
23 May. 2021
TAR
Taranto
1 - 0
Team Altamura
ASD
51%
25%
23%
446 286 160 +1
16 May. 2021
MOL
Molfetta Calcio
1 - 3
Taranto
TAR
42%
27%
31%
444 296 -148 +2
09 May. 2021
TAR
Taranto
2 - 3
Portici
POR
53%
25%
22%
445 245 200 -2
02 May. 2021
FIA
Fidelis Andria
1 - 1
Taranto
TAR
41%
28%
31%
445 353 -92 0

Matches

Audace Cerignola
Audace Cerignola
1%
X%
2%
ELO AUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2021
AUD
Audace Cerignola
4 - 0
Città di Fasano
ASF
49%
26%
25%
365 242 123 +2
23 May. 2021
SFA
Aversa Normanna
1 - 3
Audace Cerignola
AUD
46%
27%
28%
363 303 -60 +2
19 May. 2021
BRI
Brindisi
2 - 1
Audace Cerignola
AUD
45%
27%
28%
363 352 -11 0
16 May. 2021
AUD
Audace Cerignola
2 - 1
Gravina
FBC
47%
27%
26%
363 269 94 +1
02 May. 2021
AUD
Audace Cerignola
5 - 0
Virtus Casarano
VIR
46%
27%
27%
360 381 -21 +3