Tanzania vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZAM
59%
19%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
TAN
0 - 0
KEN
62%
19%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
TAN
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1973 |
TAN
2 - 1
KEN
61%
19%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1973 |
NGA
2 - 1
TAN
70%
16%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1974 |
UGA
1 - 1
SOM
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1974 |
CIV
2 - 2
UGA
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
77%
14%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
TAN
55%
20%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |