CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Tanzania vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.8%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
TZA
9%
20%
71%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
TZA
0 - 2
DZA
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
TZA
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 1
SDN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TZA
3 - 1
CAF
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
TZA
9%
20%
71%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SOM
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
10%
18%
72%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
OMN
2 - 1
SOM
81%
14%
4%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
46%
21%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |