Tanzania vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
TZA
3 - 0
RWA
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TZA
1 - 1
ERI
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2002 |
TZA
2 - 0
BDI
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
TZA
1 - 1
SDN
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
TZA
1 - 0
KEN
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
UGA
1 - 3
KEN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
SDN
0 - 1
KEN
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
KEN
4 - 1
ERI
87%
10%
2%
|
69 | 13 | 56 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
TZA
1 - 0
KEN
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |