Tanzania vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BDI
0 - 1
TAN
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UGA
2 - 0
TAN
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
YEM
2 - 1
TAN
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
YEM
1 - 1
TAN
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
EGY
5 - 1
TAN
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 1
ERI
70%
19%
10%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 2
ERI
81%
14%
6%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ERI
3 - 1
SLE
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
OMA
1 - 0
ERI
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |