National League Round 6

Tamworth vs Wrexham AFC analysis

Tamworth Wrexham AFC
56 ELO 50
-14.7% Tilt -0.8%
4283º General ELO ranking 949º
118º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.4%
Tamworth
27.1%
Draw
25.6%
Wrexham AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
Tamworth
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.5%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tamworth
+1%
+8%
Wrexham AFC

ELO progression

Tamworth
Wrexham AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tamworth
Tamworth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
TAM
Tamworth
0 - 0
Cambridge United
CAM
38%
28%
34%
55 57 2 0
18 Aug. 2009
GAT
Gateshead
1 - 1
Tamworth
TAM
46%
25%
29%
55 53 2 0
15 Aug. 2009
TAM
Tamworth
2 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
50%
27%
23%
55 50 5 0
08 Aug. 2009
STE
Stevenage
1 - 1
Tamworth
TAM
68%
19%
13%
55 63 8 0
25 Apr. 2009
AFC
AFC Telford United
0 - 0
Tamworth
TAM
46%
26%
28%
56 57 1 -1

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
1 - 2
Kettering Town
KET
34%
29%
37%
51 57 6 0
18 Aug. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
1 - 0
York City
YOR
39%
28%
33%
51 53 2 0
15 Aug. 2009
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
57%
23%
20%
51 55 4 0
08 Aug. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
3 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
46%
26%
28%
51 49 2 0
26 Apr. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 0
Weymouth
WEY
68%
20%
12%
51 38 13 0