Tamworth vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
TAM
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 1
NEW
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LUT
3 - 0
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 2
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
TAM
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FLE
4 - 0
ALF
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
FLE
6 - 2
EBB
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 0
CAM
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 2
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
FLE
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |