Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
3 - 2
LOU
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 0
BLE
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
6 - 2
TUL
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 2
TAM
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
TAM
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 1
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 0
ORS
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 0
COL
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
ORA
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
2 - 1
LVG
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |