Tammeka vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
9º
8º
51
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 77 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 75 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 66 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 65 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 60 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 53 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 39 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 26 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
8 - 1
TAM
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 8
TAM
11%
15%
75%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
TRA
4 - 1
TAM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 3
KAL
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
TAM
6 - 0
TAB
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
PAI
5 - 1
KUR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAI
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 2
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 0
HJP
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
AIK
6 - 0
PAI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |