Segunda Estonia Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 1-1
Tammeka II vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TAM
5 - 1
NOM
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NOM
1 - 0
TAM
59%
20%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAN
3 - 6
TAM
21%
21%
58%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TAM
4 - 0
TAR
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUL
1 - 2
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TIN
3 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
TJK
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 7
PAR
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOT
3 - 2
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |