Tamai vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 0
GIO
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
DEL
2 - 1
TAM
59%
21%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
3 - 3
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACS
2 - 2
TAM
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 2
ACD
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CER
3 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
ACD
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CER
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CER
0 - 3
LEG
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -2 |