FCI Tallinn vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCI Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LEV
4 - 3
TIN
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TIN
9 - 2
LOT
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 4
TIN
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIN
7 - 0
WAR
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 1
TIN
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
TJK
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 7
PAR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOT
3 - 2
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 4
PAR
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |