Thailand vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
THA
3 - 2
UZB
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
YEM
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
YEM
1 - 1
THA
17%
19%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 7
THA
9%
15%
76%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
6 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PAK
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
PAK
0 - 7
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
3 - 2
IRQ
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 0
KSA
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |