AFC U-23 Asian Cup qualifying Qualifying Round Round 1

Tailandia U23 vs Mongolia U23 analysis

Tailandia U23 Mongolia U23
46 ELO 26
-8.5% Tilt -7.1%
5752º General ELO ranking 10264º
26º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.9%
Tailandia U23
18.7%
Draw
11.4%
Mongolia U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
Tailandia U23
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.4%
Win probability
Mongolia U23
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Tailandia U23
Mongolia U23
Malasia U23
Líbano U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tailandia U23
Tailandia U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2025
FIL
Filipinas U23
1 - 3
Tailandia U23
THA
21%
20%
59%
45 28 17 0
25 Jul. 2025
IDN
Indonesia U23
1 - 1
Tailandia U23
THA
48%
23%
29%
45 47 2 0
22 Jul. 2025
THA
Tailandia U23
0 - 0
Myanmar U23
MYA
62%
20%
19%
45 29 16 0
19 Jul. 2025
TIO
Timor Oriental U23
0 - 4
Tailandia U23
THA
16%
18%
66%
45 19 26 0
10 Jun. 2025
THA
Tailandia U23
1 - 2
Emiratos Árabes U23
UAE
20%
21%
59%
46 55 9 -1

Matches

Mongolia U23
Mongolia U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
IRN
Irán U23
3 - 0
Mongolia U23
MON
87%
10%
3%
26 57 31 0
21 Sep. 2023
MON
Mongolia U23
0 - 3
Arabia Saudí U23
KSA
6%
17%
78%
26 58 32 0
19 Sep. 2023
VIE
Vietnam U23
4 - 2
Mongolia U23
MON
81%
14%
5%
27 51 24 -1