AFC U-23 Asian Cup qualifying Qualifying Round Round 1

Thailand U23 vs Mongolia U23 analysis

Thailand U23 Mongolia U23
45 ELO 26
-6.6% Tilt -7%
5652º General ELO ranking 9723º
27º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.7%
Thailand U23
17.4%
Draw
9.9%
Mongolia U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
Thailand U23
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.9%
Win probability
Mongolia U23
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Thailand U23
Mongolia U23
Malaysia U23
Lebanon U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thailand U23
Thailand U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2025
THA
Thailand U23
1 - 2
UAE U23
UAE
20%
21%
59%
46 55 9 0
04 Jun. 2025
THA
Thailand U23
2 - 3
Hong Kong U23
HKG
42%
24%
34%
47 45 2 -1
25 Mar. 2025
THA
Thailand U23
1 - 3
Croatia U21
CRO
5%
10%
85%
47 67 20 0
22 Mar. 2025
QAT
Qatar U23
2 - 1
Thailand U23
THA
39%
24%
38%
48 46 2 -1
19 Mar. 2025
UAE
UAE U23
1 - 0
Thailand U23
THA
51%
22%
26%
48 53 5 0

Matches

Mongolia U23
Mongolia U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
IRN
Iran U23
3 - 0
Mongolia U23
MON
87%
10%
3%
26 57 31 0
21 Sep. 2023
MON
Mongolia U23
0 - 3
Saudi Arabia U23
KSA
6%
17%
78%
26 58 32 0
19 Sep. 2023
VIE
Vietnam U23
4 - 2
Mongolia U23
MON
81%
14%
5%
27 51 24 -1