Wales Second Division Round 24

Taffs Well vs Cardiff MU analysis

Taffs Well Cardiff MU
36 ELO 28
8% Tilt 7.6%
8935º General ELO ranking 2046º
61º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
71.3%
Taffs Well
16.8%
Draw
11.9%
Cardiff MU

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
Taffs Well
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.9%
Win probability
Cardiff MU
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taffs Well
-103%
-42%
Cardiff MU

ELO progression

Taffs Well
Cardiff MU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taffs Well
Taffs Well
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2007
ABE
Aberdare Town FC
2 - 1
Taffs Well
TAF
50%
24%
27%
38 40 2 0
24 Feb. 2007
TAF
Taffs Well
3 - 0
Pontardawe Town
PON
56%
22%
22%
37 36 1 +1
20 Feb. 2007
TAF
Taffs Well
3 - 1
Barry Town
BAR
72%
17%
11%
37 26 11 0
10 Feb. 2007
NEA
Neath Athletic
2 - 1
Taffs Well
TAF
79%
14%
7%
37 53 16 0
27 Jan. 2007
ERA
Ely Rangers
0 - 1
Taffs Well
TAF
37%
24%
40%
36 30 6 +1

Matches

Cardiff MU
Cardiff MU
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2007
CAR
Cardiff MU
1 - 2
Caerleon
CAR
65%
19%
16%
28 29 1 0
24 Feb. 2007
CAR
Cardiff Bay
1 - 1
Cardiff MU
CAR
56%
22%
22%
27 30 3 +1
17 Feb. 2007
CAR
Cardiff MU
2 - 4
Goytre United
GOY
24%
24%
52%
29 48 19 -2
03 Feb. 2007
CAR
Cardiff MU
0 - 1
Pontardawe Town
PON
58%
21%
21%
30 35 5 -1
27 Jan. 2007
CAR
Cardiff MU
1 - 4
Afan Lido
LID
39%
26%
36%
33 44 11 -3