Tacuary vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
12º
12º
17
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 0
TAC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
TAC
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CCP
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |