Tacuarembó FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
LFC
7 - 1
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 0
TAC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
TAC
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 0
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
CSC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 3
DEF
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
FEN
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 4
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |