Tacoma Defiance vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TAC
3 - 1
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
TAC
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 4
TAC
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
TUL
50%
20%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
REN
2 - 4
SDL
33%
21%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
REN
1 - 3
SAC
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TUL
0 - 3
REN
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LVG
0 - 2
REN
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
REN
0 - 0
EPL
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |