Taboão da Serra vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
TAB
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
BEB
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAB
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
TAB
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
SER
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
2 - 2
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
66%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +2 |