't Fean '58 vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+727%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
14º
12º
27
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 1
TFE
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRO
4 - 0
TFE
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ONS
6 - 2
TFE
90%
7%
4%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
ORA
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +4 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PKC
5 - 6
TFE
91%
6%
3%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
BRO
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORA
3 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
LEE
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEE
0 - 3
PKC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |