Sydney Olympic vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BLA
4 - 2
SYD
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SYD
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SYD
1 - 0
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
BLA
54%
22%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 1
SYD
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
BON
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |