SWZ vs Germania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SWZ
4 - 2
BEQ
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VVA
0 - 1
SWZ
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SWZ
2 - 3
BAB
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HSC
3 - 1
SWZ
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SWZ
2 - 3
DET
24%
23%
52%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Germania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
GER
1 - 3
JOU
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BEQ
3 - 1
GER
73%
16%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
GER
0 - 2
ROH
38%
24%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VVA
2 - 0
GER
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
GER
0 - 2
ACH
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |