SWZ vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JOS
2 - 2
SWZ
30%
22%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SWZ
3 - 2
ADO
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SWZ
3 - 0
DIE
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEM
2 - 2
SWZ
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SWZ
0 - 2
SIL
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 0
ALV
74%
16%
9%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 2
WOE
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DEB
2 - 1
ALV
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
JOS
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 0
HOL
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |