League One Round 22

Swindon Town vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis

Swindon Town Brighton & Hove Albion
64 ELO 57
5.5% Tilt -2.8%
2714º General ELO ranking 57º
72º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.8%
Swindon Town
21.4%
Draw
14.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
Swindon Town
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.8%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swindon Town
+8%
+4%
Brighton & Hove Albion

ELO progression

Swindon Town
Brighton & Hove Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swindon Town
Swindon Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2009
BRO
Bristol Rovers
3 - 0
Swindon Town
SWI
45%
26%
29%
65 62 3 0
05 Dec. 2009
SWI
Swindon Town
3 - 2
Leyton Orient
LEY
61%
22%
17%
65 59 6 0
28 Nov. 2009
WRE
Wrexham AFC
0 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
20%
24%
55%
65 51 14 0
24 Nov. 2009
SWI
Swindon Town
2 - 1
Huddersfield Town
HUR
40%
26%
34%
64 67 3 +1
21 Nov. 2009
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
47%
25%
28%
64 62 2 0

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 2
Colchester United
COL
37%
26%
37%
58 66 8 0
05 Dec. 2009
EXE
Exeter City
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
59%
23%
18%
57 61 4 +1
01 Dec. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
Charlton Athletic
CHA
34%
27%
40%
58 69 11 -1
28 Nov. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 2
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
56%
22%
23%
58 56 2 0
24 Nov. 2009
NOR
Norwich City
4 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
71%
19%
11%
58 68 10 0