Swindon Supermarine vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAT
4 - 0
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 0
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HIG
2 - 3
SWI
24%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 3
WHI
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
MER
0 - 3
POO
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
WIM
0 - 0
MER
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 0
MER
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |