Swindon Supermarine vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
YAT
39%
25%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 1
SWI
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BEA
5 - 1
SWI
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 0
DOR
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
TIV
1 - 1
SWI
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 4
MET
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LEI
3 - 0
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 0
HAR
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
HAR
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |